Different Predictions
The planners may expect different consequences from the same disruption.
Competing ReadingsRisk Reduced Risk Shifted
Synthetic · Simulation/As of
What Separates People Who Choose Differently From the Same Evidence?
A team considers keeping a shared service open during a change. The planners read the same account of disruption but choose different approaches.
- Who Asks
- The people comparing proposals
- Who Is Affected
- Service users and maintainers
- Who Can Revise
- The service owner
Traces in This ScenarioInvented, not observed
The proposals cite the same account of an interrupted service.
One proposal prioritizes continuity; another prioritizes time to correct faults.
The Assumption
Agreement on evidence is assumed to imply agreement on what matters most.
Where the Readings Split
Keep the difference visibleDifferent Priorities
They may agree about consequences and still disagree about which burden to accept.
Follow the Risk
A shared evidence record makes the disagreement easier to locate.
A hidden priority can place a burden on people who never agreed to it.